Thursday, September 27, 2007

What's the difference between Wealth and Affluence?

The word Wealth comes from the word "weal" meaning a great surplus of money and property. Affluence is a derivative of "allure" a Latin word that means to flow freely.

The affluent drive expensive cars and live in big houses. More often than not, people who may appear to be wealthy are actually affluent. Conversely most people who are wealthy do not flaunt their wealth; they live modestly, they save and invest and have a plan for their future.

Warren Buffet drives around Omaha in a 2001 Lincoln Town Car with the license plate "THRIFTY" and has lived in the same house he bought in 1958 for $31,500. And he is the second wealthiest man in the world. Jim Walton heir to the WalMart fortune continues his father's tradition. His father Sam Walton use to drive around Bentonville, Arkansas in a beat up pickup truck.

Wednesday, September 26, 2007

What's wrong with target date funds?

The concept seems simple enough; pick a retirement date, select an off the shelf portfolio from a brokerage and sit tight. Let the brokerage determine the funds in the portfolio and have them adjust it accordingly ratcheting down your risk profile as you reach retirement.

Any confusion regarding asset mixes or a confusing array of mutual fund choices is instantly eliminated. Funds are named by year and are spaced 5 years apart. making it easy to select a target portfolio.

So what can possibly be wrong with this approach?

Too often, investors don't use target date funds properly, and you have to wonder whether one fund can really be appropriate for everyone who retires in a given year. The asset allocation of a particular fund won't suit the risk tolerance of all individuals who plan to retire in that year.

Each fund family is different and each investor is different. I might want to be as conservative as possible as I get closer to retirement and my fund might still have 30 percent in stocks, when I'd rather prefer to be 100 percent in bonds. People have to understand what they're buying, and many people don't look under the hood.

Another potential problem is that investors aren't given enough information regarding the philosophy behind target date funds and how they should invest their money.

The concept is one-stop shopping, but people don't do that. About 90 percent of the people who have money in the fund have it in there incorrectly. It's just another fund that they put their money in. They might have money in six other funds -- growth, value, etc., and then maybe 15 percent in target date.

While that problem might be fixed by better educating employees and other investors who consider these funds, another situation might be more perplexing to consumers. The asset allocation in a specific target date fund can vary from one firm to another.

Look at the 2020 target date funds from Fidelity, T. Rowe Price and Vanguard, and you'll see quite a bit of difference among them in asset allocation.


Cash Stocks Bonds Other
Fidelity Freedom 2020 Fund 4.76% 69.43% 17.85% 7.97%
T. Rowe Price Retirement 2020 Fund 4.75% 76.48% 18.03% 0.74%
Vanguard Target Retirement 2020 Fund 1.31% 70.22% 27.65% 0.82%
Data from Google 9/27/07

T. Rowe Price looks to be the most aggressive of the three with more than 76 percent of the portfolio in stocks, a mix the company finds appropriate for someone 13 years from retirement.

Above all, for the level of risk, consumers should check the performance of any target date fund to see if it at least matches the performance of a benchmark index or category.

Another potential weakness is that most fund companies will use a roster of their own funds, some good and some not so good. Moreover not every company has great funds across the board. Fidelity may have a fantastic large cap value fund while T. Rowe Price excels at small cap.

When's the best time to plan for retirement?

Somebody recently asked me whether it's worth their while to even bother to think of retirement in their twenties. After all serious adult preoccupations such as financial planning and retirement are for people in their 40s when there is something to plan for. The truth is that it's never too late to plan for the future as this striking example will illustrate:

Scenario 1:
Joe a 19 year old socks away $2,000 a year into a retirement account for 8 years

Scenario 2:
Jill a 26 year old diligently invests $2,000 a year from age 26 to age 65. That's 39 years of investing!

Assuming that both Joe and Jill earn a 10% return per year who do you think comes out ahead at age 65?

AgeJoe 19
Jill 26

Savings Year end balanceSavings Year end balance
19$ 2,000 $ 2,200
$ -
20$ 2,000 $ 4,620
$ -
21$ 2,000 $ 7,282
$ -
22$ 2,000 $ 10,210
$ -
23$ 2,000 $ 13,431
$ -
24$ 2,000 $ 16,974
$ -
25$ 2,000 $ 20,872
$ -
26$ 2,000 $ 25,159
$ -
27
$ 27,675 $ 2,000 $ 2,200
28
$ 30,442 $ 2,000 $ 4,620
29
$ 33,487 $ 2,000 $ 7,282
30
$ 36,835 $ 2,000 $ 10,210
31
$ 40,519 $ 2,000 $ 13,431
32
$ 44,571 $ 2,000 $ 16,974
33
$ 49,028 $ 2,000 $ 20,872
34
$ 53,930 $ 2,000 $ 25,159
35
$ 59,323 $ 2,000 $ 29,875
36
$ 65,256 $ 2,000 $ 35,062
37
$ 71,781 $ 2,000 $ 40,769
38
$ 78,960 $ 2,000 $ 47,045
39
$ 86,856 $ 2,000 $ 53,950
40
$ 95,541 $ 2,000 $ 61,545
41
$ 105,095 $ 2,000 $ 69,899
42
$ 115,605 $ 2,000 $ 79,089
43
$ 127,165 $ 2,000 $ 89,198
44
$ 139,882 $ 2,000 $100,318
45
$ 153,870 $ 2,000 $112,550
46
$ 169,257 $ 2,000 $126,005
47
$ 186,183 $ 2,000 $140,805
48
$ 204,801 $ 2,000 $157,086
49
$ 225,281 $ 2,000 $174,995
50
$ 247,809 $ 2,000 $194,694
51
$ 272,590 $ 2,000 $216,364
52
$ 299,849 $ 2,000 $240,200
53
$ 329,834 $ 2,000 $266,420
54
$ 362,817 $ 2,000 $295,262
55
$ 399,099 $ 2,000 $326,988
56
$ 439,009 $ 2,000 $361,887
57
$ 482,910 $ 2,000 $400,276
58
$ 531,201 $ 2,000 $442,503
59
$ 584,321 $ 2,000 $488,953
60
$ 642,753 $ 2,000 $540,049
61
$ 707,028 $ 2,000 $596,254
62
$ 777,731 $ 2,000 $658,079
63
$ 855,504 $ 2,000 $726,087
64
$ 941,054 $ 2,000 $800,896
65
$ 1,035,160 $ 2,000 $883,185

Surprisingly enough Joe, who started early and even though he only paid in for 8 years is better off to the tune of close to $200,000. He's 20% better off due to the power of compounding!